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Bush Could Win Florida GOP Primary But Trails Clinton In General Election

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Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush would have a significant advantage in a potential Republican primary in the Sunshine State, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday, although he would trail Hillary Clinton in a general election matchup in the key battleground state.

The poll found that 27 percent of registered Florida Republicans would vote for Bush if the primary were held today, well ahead of other potential GOP candidates.

Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ken., comes in second at 14 percent, followed by Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., at 11 percent.

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Tex., former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., have levels of support in the single digits.

Meanwhile, Clinton has an even more substantial lead in a potential Democratic primary, with 64 percent of registered Florida Democrats saying that they would vote for the former Secretary of State.

Vice President Joseph Biden comes in a distant second at 11 percent, while 6 percent said they would vote for Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass.

In the potential general election matchup, the poll showed that 49 percent of Florida voters support Clinton compared to the 41 percent that favor Bush.

Clinton has double-digit leads over the other possible Republican candidates, benefiting from a positive 58 percent to 37 percent favorability rating among Florida voters.

"With former Gov. Jeb Bush making noises about a possible 2016 candidacy, his support among Republicans in the Sunshine State appears to be solidifying," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

He added, "He still trails Hillary Clinton in a general election matchup, but he is the only potential GOP nominee who gets within single digits of her."

The Quinnipiac survey of 1,413 registered Florida voters was conducted April 23rd through 28th and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points.

The survey includes 494 Republicans and 501 Democrats, each with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

(Photo Credit: Gage Skidmore)

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