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Upgrading O'Reilly Automotive To Outperform, While Downgrading Genuine Parts To Underperform - FBR Capital Markets Comments

By RTTNews Staff Writer   ✉  | Published:  | Google News Follow Us  | Join Us
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Monday, FBR Capital Markets upgraded O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) shares to Outperform from Underperform. The brokerage raised its 2009 fourth quarter EPS estimate to $0.52 from $0.48, and its 2010 estimate to $2.48 from $2.27.

The brokerage downgraded Genuine Parts Co. (GPC) shares to Underperform from Market Perform. The brokerage raised its 2009 fourth quarter EPS estimate to $0.53 from $0.51, while maintaining its 2010 estimate of $2.45.

The brokerage maintained AutoZone Inc. (AZO) stock with a Market Perform rating. The brokerage raised its 2010 EPS estimate to $13.55 from $13.27.

The brokerage maintained Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP) stock with an Underperform rating. The brokerage maintained its 2010 EPS estimate of $2.97.

Analyst Stephen Chick thinks that the sales contribution of acquired and converted former CSK banner stores for ORLY will enable that chain to sustain positive same-store sales in 2010, likely accelerating as the year progresses, low first half of 2010, higher second half of 2010, as comparisons begin to ease again for the core business. The analyst expects that the equity market will be inclined to pay for this with a premium valuation to the group and the S&P 500 for ORLY, for the time being.

The analyst expects that converted stores to date for it are on track and in line with management's plan. While early for GPC, as the upcoming fourth quarter of 2009 EPS for that company ought to be ahead of consensus estimates, the analyst is becoming more apprehensive regarding GPC, as well as regards Auto Zone, as these chains face geographic and strategic sales overlap with ORLY, who vows to grow the fastest in the after-market auto parts retail sector.

The analyst's earnings estimates for 2010 for GPC are below consensus, and he does not think that this is reflected appropriately within the current share price for it. The analyst rated ORLY shares Outperform and GPC shares Underperform. The analyst maintained his ratings on the other two stocks in the subsector: AZO and AAP.

Finally, as it pertains to the sector, the analyst believes that the notion of tougher sales comparisons in first half of 2010, higher year-over-year gas prices, more modest miles-driven trends, and, finally, accelerating SAAR (new car) sales are becoming better advertised within the equity market than these headwinds have been previously.

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Global Economics Weekly Update - Jun 01 - Jun 05, 2026

June 05, 2026 16:18 ET
A busy week for economic news flow saw a slew of reports being released that reflected the trends in the U.S. labor market. In Europe, economic growth and inflation data gained attention as the European Central Bank and Bank of England head for policy session later in the month. In Asia, the monetary policy session of the Indian central bank was in focus as the country, a major oil importer, reels under the pressures of a weaker rupee and rising inflation.